Includes book reviews and unpublished papers, which are often more revealing than the published ones
2024
2024
Will ‘Computable’ Clinical Guidelines Be Compatible with Personalised Care?
Studies in Health Technology and Informatics  313 2024: 192-197  (with Mette Kjer Kaltoft and Vije Kumar Rajput)
2023
2023
Inferring Causality is Preference-Sensitive: We Need a Book of Who as Well as Why

Special Topic Conference Turin.
Studies in Health Technology and Informatics 309: 38-42 [with Vije Kumar Rajput and Mette Kjer Kaltoft]

2023
Preventing Overdiagnosis 2023 Copenhagen 1

Value-Based Medicine can eliminate Over- (and Under-) Diagnosis [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft and Vije Kumar Rajput]

2023
Preventing Overdiagnosis 2023 Copenhagen 2

OverDiagnosis and Unshared Decision Making as Paradigm-constructed Anomalies [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft and Vije Kumar Rajput]

2022
2022
The causal plausibility decision in healthcare

Studies in Health Technology and Informatics 2022 299: 75-88 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft and Vije Kumar Rajput]

2021
2021
Dissonance Deficit Denial Disorder

The Coronavirus and Brexit debates have led to the recognition of a new disease, previously undetected and therefore under-diagnosed and under-treated. Dr Ivor Newcon, of Ailmongering University Hospital, has led the world in researching and diagnosing the new disease

2021
The ‘reasonable patient’ of 2025 envisioned

JMIR Preprints 08/11/2021:34795(with Mette Kjer Kaltoft)

Rules out issuing (non-differential) diagnosis without a personalised MCDA

“Diagnosis without prognosis is now an unacceptable basis for action. Diagnosis as a subcomponent of a prognostic process – itself a subcomponent of the fundamental decision making process – is its future”

2021
Communicating About Mortality in Health Decision Support: ‘What and Why and When, and How and Where and Who’

pHealth 2021 (with Vije Rajput and Mette Kjer Kaltoft)

2020
2020
Measures of decision aid quality are preference-sensitive and interest-conflicted 1 : normative measures

Studies In Health Technology and Informatics 275 : 47-51 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft and Vije Kumar Rajput]  PMID: 33227738; DOI: 10.3233/SHTI200692

2020
Measures of decision aid quality are preference-sensitive and interest-conflicted 2 : empirical measures

Studies In Health Technology and Informatics 275 : 52-56 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft and Vije Kumar Rajput]  PMID: 33227739; DOI: 10.3233/SHTI200693

2020
Multicriteria Decision Support would avoid OverDiagnosis and Treatment

Studies In Health Technology and Informatics 275 : 172-6 [with Vije Kumar Rajput and Mette Kjer Kaltoft] PMID: 33227763; DOI: 10.3233/SHTI200717

2020
Evaluations of decision support tools are preference-sensitive and interest-conflicted : the case of deliberation aids

Studies In Health Technology and Informatics 273 : 217-222 [with Vije Kumar Rajput and Mette Kjer Kaltoft]  PMID: 33087615; DOI: 10.3233/SHTI200643

2020
Decision quality is a preference-sensitive formative concept: how do some existing measures compare?

Studies In Health Technology and Informatics 270 : 562-566 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft]  PMID: 32570446; DOI: 10.3233/SHTI200223

2020
Covid-19, the Swedish ‘Experiment’, and Me
Covid-19, the Swedish ‘Experiment’, and Me

 Studies in Health Technology and Informatics, 273: 211-216  PMID: 33087614; DOI: 10.3233/SHTI200642

2019
2019
Translating the results of Discrete Choice Experiments into  p-/e-/m-health decision support tools

Studies In Health Technology and Informatics 261 :  193-8 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft]  PMID: 31156115

 

2019
Uncertainty-Adjusted Translation for Preference-Sensitive Decision Support

Studies In Health Technology and Informatics 258 : 174-8 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft]  PMID: 30942740

2019
Strong recommendations are inappropriate in person-centred care:  the case of Anti-Platelet Therapy

Studies In Health Technology and Informatics 262 : 110 – 113 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft]  PMID: 31349278; DOI: 10.3233/SHTI190029

2019
The evaluation of decision support tools needs to be preference context-sensitive

Studies In Health Technology and Informatics 265 : 163 – 168 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft and Jesper Bo Nielsen] PMID: 31431593; DOI: 10.3233/SHTI190157

2019
PROMs need PRIMs: Standardised outcome measures lack the preference-sensitivity needed in person-centred care

Studies In Health Technology and Informatics 262 : 118 – 121 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft] PMID: 31349280; DOI: 10.3233/SHTI190031

2019
ICIMTH, Athens

PROMs need PRIMs: Standardised outcome measures lack the preference-sensitivity
needed in person-centred care (with Mette Kjer Kaltoft)

2019
pHealth, Genoa

Translating the results of Discrete Choice Experiments into p/e/m-Health Decision Support Tools (with Mette Kjer Kaltoft)

2019
A Generic Rapid Evaluation Support Tool (GREST) for clinical and commissioning decisions
A Generic Rapid Evaluation Support Tool (GREST) for clinical and commissioning decisions

Studies In Health Technology and Informatics 264 576-580 [with Vije Kumar Rajput and Mette Kjer Kaltoft]  PMID: 31437989; DOI: 10.3233/SHTI190288

2018
2018
Preference-Sensitive apomediative Decision Support is key to facilitating Self-Produced Health.

Studies in Health Technology and Informatics 255: 132-136. [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft and Jesper Bo Nielsen] PMID: 30306922

2018
Separating Risk Assessment from Risk Management poses legal and ethical problems in Person-Centred Care

Studies in Health Technology and Informatics 251: 23-26 [with Mette Kjer Ksltoft and Jesper Bo Nielsen] PMID: 29968592

2018
From Rapid Recommendation to online preference-sensitive decision support: the case of  severe aortic stenosis

Medical Sciences 6: 109 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft] PMID: 30501062; DOI: 10.3390/medsci6040109

2018
Risk thresholds and risk classifications pose problems for Person-Centred Care
Risk thresholds and risk classifications pose problems for Person-Centred Care

Studies in Health Technology and Informatics 251: 19–22 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft and Jesper Bo Nielsen] PMID: 29968591

2018
★ The future of health is self-production and co-creation based on apomediative decision support.
★ The future of health is self-production and co-creation based on apomediative decision support.

Medical Sciences 6: 66 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft] PMID: 30135365 DOI: 10.3390/medsci6030066

2017
2017
Formative preference-sensitive measures are needed in person-centred healthcare at both clinical and policy levels

European Journal of Person Centered Healthcare 5: 495-500 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft and Jesper Bo Nielsen] PMIDX

2016
2016
Preferences cannot be treated as epidemiological characteristics in person-centred care : a riposte

European Journal of Person Centered Healthcare 4: 6–9. [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft, Jesper Bo Nielsen and Glenn Salkeld] PMIDX

2016
Preventing Overdiagnosis 4, Barcelona

Where does Overdiagnosis fit in a Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis? [Poster and Pitch] (with Mette Kjer Kaltoft, Jesper Bo Nielsen and Glenn Salkeld)

2016
Preventing Overdiagnosis 4, Barcelona

Where does Overdiagnosis fit in a Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis? [3 minute pitch] (with Mette Kjer Kaltoft, Jesper Bo Nielsen and Glenn Salkeld)

2016
Towards integrating the principlist and casuist approaches to ethical decisions via multi-criterial support
Towards integrating the principlist and casuist approaches to ethical decisions via multi-criterial support

Studies in Health Technology and Informatics 225: 540–54 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft, Jesper Bo Nielsen and Glenn Salkeld] PMID: 27332259

Video on nurse’s disclosure dilemma (MKK)

2015
2015
Can a Discrete Choice Experiment contribute to person-centred healthcare?

European Journal for Person Centered Healthcare 23: 431–437 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft, Jesper Bo  Nielsen and Glenn Salkeld] PMIDX

2015
Bringing feedback in from the outback via a generic and preference-sensitive instrument for course quality assessment

JMIR Research Protocols 4: e15 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft, Jesper Bo Nielsen, Glenn Salkeld and Jo Lander] PMID: 25720558; DOI: 10.2196/resprot.4012

2015
Who should decide how much and what information is important in person-centred health care?

Journal of Health Services Research and Policy 20: 192–195 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft, Jesper Bo Nielsen and Glenn Salkeld].  PMID: 25577192; DOI: 10.1177/1355819614567911

2015
Caveat emptor NICE: biased use of cost-effectiveness is inefficient and inequitable
Caveat emptor NICE: biased use of cost-effectiveness is inefficient and inequitable

f1000 Research 4: 1078. [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft, Jesper Bo Nielsen and Glenn Salkeld] PMID: 27803795; DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.7191.1

2014
2014
Assessing decision quality in patient-centred care requires a preference-sensitive measure
Assessing decision quality in patient-centred care requires a preference-sensitive measure

Journal of Health Services Research and Policy 19:110–117 [with Mette Kjer Kaltoft, Michelle Cunich and Glenn Salkeld]PMID: 24335587; DOI  10.1177/1355819613511076

2013
2013
Addressing the disconnect between public health science and personalised health care: the potential role of cluster analysis in combination with multi-criteria decision analysis

Lancet 382 : 552 online 29/11/13) (with Mette Kjer Kaltoft, Robin Turner, Jesper Bo Nielsen, Glenn Salkeld and Michelle Cunich) (Poster here)

2013
Mapping the translation challenge

Studies in Health Technology and Informatics 192: 996  PMIDX

2012
2012
★ JUDEMAKIA: a personal map of the world of JUdgment and DEcision MAKing
★ JUDEMAKIA: a personal map of the world of JUdgment and DEcision MAKing

unpublished

2008
2008
Multi-element competitions are often scored inappropriately
Multi-element competitions are often scored inappropriately

Heptathlon, Men’s Triathlon, 3 Day Event and Mens Pentathlon medals around wrong necks?

2007
2007
Values in Medicine, Warwick

A new map of the world of judgment and decision making in health – and a new tool for delivering the best medicine

2005
2005
No room for kinkiness in a public healthcare system

Pharmacoeconomics, 23 (12), 1203–1206.

2004
2004
Why cost-effectiveness should trump(clinical) effectiveness: the ethical economics of the South West quadrant

Health Economics, 13 (5), 453–459.

2004
Quality weighting in evidence synthesis for decision support is a matter of preferences – QE-5D is proposed as an instrument for their elicitation

Collège des Économistes de la Santé/Health Economists Study Group, Joint Workshop. Paris, January 14-16 2004 (with Zaid Chalabi)

2002
2002
The role of patients’ meta-preferences in the design and evaluation of decision support systems
The role of patients’ meta-preferences in the design and evaluation of decision support systems

Health Expectations, 5 (1), 16–27.

2002
Choosing the surgical mortality threshold for high risk patients with stage la non-small cell lung cancer: Insights from decision analysis
Choosing the surgical mortality threshold for high risk patients with stage la non-small cell lung cancer: Insights from decision analysis

Thorax, 57 (1), 7–10 [with Martin Wildman] plus editorial and letter/response

1998
1998
Towards the equitably efficient and transparently decidable use of public funds in the deep blue millennium
Towards the equitably efficient and transparently decidable use of public funds in the deep blue millennium

Health Economics, 7 (2), 93–103.

1997
1997
★ Clinical trials and economic evaluations? No, there are only evaluations
★ Clinical trials and economic evaluations? No, there are only evaluations

Health Economics, 6 (1), 87–89.

1996
1996
Evidence-based, cost-effective and preference-driven medicine: decision analysis based medical decision making is the pre-requisite
Evidence-based, cost-effective and preference-driven medicine: decision analysis based medical decision making is the pre-requisite

Journal of Health Services Research and Policy, 1 (2), 104–113.

1994
1994
★ The danger of partial or non-comparative evaluation [‘PONCE’]
★ The danger of partial or non-comparative evaluation [‘PONCE’]

Health Care Analysis, 3 (3), 232–4. [Comment on Alan Williams “Health economics and health care priorities”, pp 221-226]

Further elaborations of PONCE extracted from  HESG 1993 and Selbmann WHO conference proceedings 1997

1990
1990
The abuse decision and decision abuse

unpublished

1970
1970
★ Valuing the benefits of health improvement
★ Valuing the benefits of health improvement

Australian Economic Papers, 1970, 9 , 21–41

Includes the conception of the Quality-Adjusted Unit of Time and a fortiori the QALY (p39)
…”qualitative time remains an essentially quantitative concept, additive with quantitative time, and the weights could be regarded as representing the percentage ability to dispose freely of the given unit of time among chosen activities.”
George W Torrance, ‘Toward A Utility Theory Foundation for Health Status Index Models’ Health Services Research 1976 11(4): 349–369. PMID: 1025050

“The central idea on which this paper is built was first proposed by Dowie [7]. He suggested that neither life nor health is appropriately valued directly. Rather, the demand for either should be regarded as a demand derived immediately from “time” and ultimately from all things involving time as an input… “